METHODS: We studied 57 mechanically ventilated patients (tidal volume 8 mL/kg, positive end-expiratory pressure 5 mm Hg, respiratory rate adjusted to keep end tidal carbon dioxide [32–36] mm Hg) undergoing elective coronary artery bypass grafting. COTD, COCAP, PPVCAP, and PPVPC were measured before and after infusion of 5 mL/kg of a colloid solution. Fluid responsiveness was defined as an increase in COTD of >10% from baseline. The ability of PPVCAP and PPVPC to predict fluid responsiveness was analyzed using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC), the agreement between COCAP and COTD using a Bland-Altman analysis and the trending ability of COCAP compared to COTD after volume expansion using a 4-quadrant plot analysis.
RESULTS: Twenty-eight patients were studied before surgical incision and 29 after sternal closure. There was no significant difference in the ability of PPVCAP and PPVPC to predict fluid responsiveness (AUROC 0.74 [95% CI, 0.60–0.84] vs 0.68 [0.54–0.80]; P = .30). A PPVCAP >8.6% predicted fluid responsiveness with a sensitivity of 73% (95% CI, 0.54–0.92) and a specificity of 74% (95% CI, 0.55–0.90), whereas a PPVPC >9.5% predicted fluid responsiveness with a sensitivity of 62% (95% CI, 0.42–0.88) and a specificity of 74% (95% CI, 0.48–0.90). When measured before surgery, PPV predicted fluid responsiveness (AUROC PPVCAP = 0.818 [P = .0001]; PPVPC = 0.794 [P = .0007]) but not when measured after surgery (AUROC PPVCAP = 0.645 [P = .19]; PPVPC = 0.552 [P = .63]). A Bland-Altman analysis of COCAP and COTD showed a mean bias of 0.3 L/min (limits of agreement: −2.8 to 3.3 L/min) and a percentage error of 60%. The concordance rate, corresponding to the proportion of CO values that changed in the same direction with the 2 methods, was poor (71%, 95% CI, 66–77).
CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing cardiac surgery, PPVCAP and PPVPC both weakly predict fluid responsiveness. However, COCAP is not a good substitute for COTD and cannot be used to assess fluid responsiveness.
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