Until now, clinical and research efforts have focused primarily on the etiology, accurate diagnosis, and effective acute treatment of COVID-19, with few acknowledging, let alone addressing the inevitable long-term consequences of surviving the most severe manifestation of the disease, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS).4
ARDS is characterized by hypoxemic respiratory failure with bilateral lung infiltrates often necessitating tracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation. Approximately 5% of patients who test positive for COVID-19 develop a severe form of the disease that requires intensive care unit (ICU) admission, of whom two-thirds develop ARDS. The survival rate for COVID-19 patients with ARDS and ICU admission is approximately 25%.5
As of April 27, 2020, there are 2,878,196 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in more than 213 countries or areas and 198,668 associated deaths (6.9%) worldwide.6 In the worst-case scenario, as many as 29% of the US population (96 million people) will become infected, and about 1 million will require ICU support.7 If these data are extrapolated, COVID-19 could infect 2.3 billion people worldwide, with 23 million requiring ICU, and about 15 million patients with ARDS.7 If the same 25% of patients with ARDS and ICU admission survive, approximately 3.7 million patients will be discharged from hospital. These survivors will experience the chronic complications that result from the prolonged hospital stay, immobility, long-term mechanical ventilation, and mental health sequelae.7
Survivors of ARDS can develop a disorder that is characterized by persistent fatigue, weakness, and limited exercise tolerance (defined as the distance walked in 6 minutes).8,9 This limited exercise tolerance is related to the use of systemic corticosteroids to treat the disease and multiorgan dysfunction during the ICU stay. Chronic pain and weakness will develop in these survivors.9 To date, resources have been concentrated on efforts to prevent the spread of and to treat COVID-19. Concomitant efforts need to be ramped up to study the epidemiology and treatment of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD), chronic pain, sleep disorders, fibromyalgia, and fatigue in COVID-19 survivors.
Two possible mechanisms may explain the post-SARS syndrome. The first is the psychological effects of a prolonged ICU admission on sleep and mood/affect. The ICU admission may lead to an exacerbation of patient mental health issues, including a feeling of emptiness due to separation and isolation from family and friends, to prolonged sedation, a breakdown of one’s social network, and anxiety about serious health conditions and survival.9 The second is the muscle atrophy due to immobility and general inflammation and neurological tropism with CoV.9,10
As was the case with SARS, COVID-19 has resulted in a large number of patients being admitted to the hospital and developing ARDS. Chronic disorders emerge throughout the first year after acute recovery from ARDS. Chronic pain after recovery from the acute illness may prevent some patients from returning to work, necessitating a need to change their profession or even to withdraw completely from any work.11 Of note, only 16% of ARDS survivors return to work 3 months after ICU discharge, 32% after 6 months, and 49% after 12 months.9 The probability that the patient will become unemployed is determined by patient’s age and the duration of hospitalization.8 Furthermore, the mean Barthel Index in ARDS survivors 6 months after ICU discharge (82.3 ± 22.9) is significantly less than that in non-ARDS patients (89.6 ± 23.2) (P = .007).8 Loss of self-sufficiency and self-esteem compound the mental health sequelae.
The challenge of reintegrating ARDS survivors from COVID-19 into workplace is vital for the recovery of the local, regional, and national economies. Currently, health care systems and governments are understandably focused on managing the acute phase of the disease, improving the survival rate, and decreasing the rate of disease transmission. However, clinicians and health policymakers must begin to formulate strategies to address and improve the long-term mental health sequelae of COVID-19.12
The first and most immediate strategy is to identify those who are at increased risk for developing PTSD after such a natural disaster (eg, those with chronic health conditions and emotional stress) before the disaster occurs. Then, to target support and resource programs to mitigate the PTSD and other mental health issues, should they develop after the natural disaster like a pandemic.13
Previous experience suggested that up to 30% of survivors of ARDS develop PTSD, with elderly patients with preexisting depression and low socioeconomic groups being the most severely affected.9 In 1 report from Canada, PTSD was greater in health care workers associated with the SARS quarantine orders. This is not surprising considering the enormous stress frontline workers endured during the care of SARS patients, which was compounded by the stress from remaining in strict quarantine between hospital shifts.10 In those who developed these mental health sequelae, symptoms persisted for at least 4 years after the SARS outbreak and other natural disasters―likely a similar pattern will be seen after the COVID-19 pandemic.10 Anticipating the risks posed by a COVID-19 pandemic to both patients and health care workers should prompt authorities to mobilize resources for these purposes and to convene multidisciplinary teams as the pandemic surges and begins to dissipate, to identify the most vulnerable patients and providers, and to longitudinally manage their mental health challenges.
The second strategy is to monitor survivors of ARDS from COVID-19 to identify risk factors for the development of PTSD, chronic pain, and a fibromyalgia-like syndrome.14 However, this surveillance must also include therapeutic tools (pharmacological, psychological, and occupational) aimed at attenuating the risk of developing a pain syndrome and its sequelae. During the initial ICU stay, basic opioid sparing is necessary, for example, using α2 agonists to prevent opioid dependence after ICU discharge.15 Other preventive measures include early physical rehabilitation to maintain full range of motion of joints and to mitigate against muscle atrophy, virtual reality to distract patients from pain, and music therapy to improve the endogenous opioid system.15 After discharge from hospital, ARDS survivors must be tracked to ensure that an integrated cognitive therapy plan is instituted for PTSD with medications for depression and sleep disturbances.
The third and final strategy must focus on planning multidisciplinary, multicenter studies to identify the prevalence and natural history (clinical trajectory) of physical and psychological disability, including chronic pain and other long-term sequelae, in survivors of ARDS from COVID-19 to assess the effectiveness of the treatments provided.
COVID-19 patients who survive ARDS are more likely to be severely affected by chronic pain compared with those who only experience mild-to-moderate infections, but the possible onset of chronic pain should not be underestimated even in those afflicted with milder forms of the disease. The survivors of the COVID-19 will find themselves facing a completely different world, with distorted human relationships and social fabric, along with a totally changed political and economic context. This requires that clinicians globally share their experiences, data, and treatment successes and failures for each of these sequelae.
Fortunately, intensivists and pain medicine specialists share many common interests that in many instances are superimposable. The risk that we will face as health care professionals is that once the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic wanes, the chronic phase will begin and present very different challenges for which the health care community globally should be prepared and we refer here to a surge in opioid dependency and mental and physical disabilities.
COVID-19 = = coronavirus disease 2019
ICU = = intensive care unit
MERS = = Middle East respiratory syndrome
PTSD = = posttraumatic stress disorder
SARS = = severe acute respiratory syndrome
SARS-CoV = = severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus
SARS-CoV-2 = = severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
WHO = = World Health Organization